Property Investment News and Analysis from Dominic Farrell.
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View Article  House prices slip -0.3% in January

House prices fell for the fourth month in a row in January with average values falling by 0.3%, the same decline as last month.

 

Research by Hometrack found that the year on year rate of growth has also slipped back, to +2.3%, which represents the lowest rate of growth ...   more »

View Article  Mortgage approvals hit by credit crunch

The number of mortgages granted to new home buyers plunged to a record low last month as banks struggled with the credit crunch and potential buyers hesitated in the face of higher mortgage rates.

 

Only 42,088 mortgages were approved for new buyers by banks in December, lower than at ...   more »

View Article  MPC damps aggressive cut expectations

The Bank of England’s monetary policy committee voted eight to one to leave interest rates unchanged last month, according to minutes of the meeting published on Wednesday, while official statistics showed growth slowed slightly less than expected in the fourth quarter.

 

The MPC felt that “the short-run inflation outlook ...   more »

View Article  CBI director Lambert forecasts 'soft landing'

Richard Lambert, the director general of the CBI, predicts a "soft landing" in the UK with some growth this year, despite the recent market turbulence.

 

Mr Lambert was speaking ahead of a surprise three-quarter point cut in US interest rates that saw the FTSE 100 index bounce by 161.9 ...   more »

View Article  Rate cut in doubt as unemployment falls

The number of people claiming unemployment benefit fell to its lowest level for more than 30 years, while British average earnings unexpectedly rose in the three months to November.

 

Figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) show that average earnings growth, including bonuses, remained steady at 4 per ...   more »

View Article  UK inflation steady in December

UK inflation remained unchanged in December, official figures have shown.

Last month's Consumer Prices Index figure - the government's preferred measurement - held at 2.1% for a third month in succession.

 

The biggest inflationary pressure was continuing high food prices, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said.

 

The ...   more »

View Article  Northern Rock starts to repay taxpayer

Northern Rock is to repay £2.2bn of its £26bn Bank of England loan after selling a portfolio of mortgages to US investment bank JP Morgan.

 

The ailing lender has agreed to sell its "Lifetime Portfolio" of equity release mortgages, which account for just 2pc of its total assets, for ...   more »

View Article  Bank keeps interest rates on hold

Bank of England policymakers have decided to keep UK interest rates unchanged at 5.5%. The Bank faced a tough decision, having to balance signs of a slowdown in consumer spending against indications of growing inflationary pressures.

 

The decision is likely to disappoint some retailers, who had called for a ...   more »

View Article  UK slump 'is worst for 28 years'

The UK economy shrank by 1.5% in the last three months of 2008, its worst performance in 28 years, a think tank has concluded.

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) also warned the economic downturn was worsening.

Its estimation comes two weeks ahead of the release of ...   more »

View Article  PM tells banks to pass on rate cuts

Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling last night warned mortgage lenders they should pass on interest rate cuts to homeowners.

 

The Prime Minister said the banks had a duty to pass on the cuts after it emerged almost one in five had not done so.

Their inaction leaves hundreds of ...   more »

View Article  UK mortgage market continues to respond to global credit conditions

Data released today showed that affordability in the mortgage market continued to show some resilience to tightening credit market conditions in November. Income multiples again declined modestly, reinforcing the trend that began in early autumn. First-time buyers typically borrowed 3.33 times their income, a figure that has fallen each month ...   more »

View Article  House prices rise as 2007 ends

House prices rose by 1.3% in December, following three months of falls, the UK's biggest lender said today.

 

Halifax said the mixed pattern of rises and falls of the past few months was consistent with a subdued market and predicted that prices would remain flat in 2008.

 ...   more »

View Article  UK faces dangerous year, says Brown

Gordon Brown on Sunday warned Britain’s economy faces a “dangerous” year ahead as he battled against rising energy prices and higher pay awards that he fears could undermine his pledge to “break the back of inflation”.

 

Although he insisted Britain’s economy was strong, the prime minister saw ...   more »

View Article  UK inflation holds steady at 2.1%

UK inflation held steady at 2.1 per cent in November despite fears it would be fuelled by rising food and fuel prices, giving the Bank of England more leeway to cut interest rates if the economy slows rapidly at the start of next year.

 

The Office for National Statistics ...   more »

View Article  CBI cuts economy growth forecast to 2pc

The CBI employers' organisation has cut its forecast for UK economic growth for the third consecutive quarter due to the turmoil in financial markets and soaring oil prices. In a report out today, the business group said it now expects GDP growth of just 2pc next year, down from its ...   more »

View Article  House prices drop by 3.2% 'on Hips effect'

UK house prices fell by 3.2% in December, as seasonal factors and the full roll-out of home information packs (Hips) took their toll on an already slowing market, property website Rightmove claimed today.

 

The website's latest survey of asking prices showed a dramatic fall from an average of £239,986 ...   more »

View Article  Chancellor's CGT delay attacked

Alistair Darling faced a barrage of criticism after revealing that he would not clarify his capital gains tax plans until the new year.

Speaking in the Commons, the Chancellor said that the capital gains tax concessions being discussed with the business community were "quite complex" and he would not now ...   more »

View Article  UK unemployment continues to fall

The number of people seeking jobless benefits in the UK has fallen to a 32-year low, according to data from the Office for National Statistics.

The number claiming jobseeker's allowance fell by 11,100 in November to 813,000, the lowest since June 1975.

Total unemployment, including those not claiming benefit, fell ...   more »

View Article  Darling hints at capital gains tax U-turn

Alistair Darling today signalled that he may backtrack on his unpopular changes to capital gains tax, as critics continued to attack his decision to announce the proposal without consulting the business community first.

 

Speaking at the CBI annual conference this lunchtime, the chancellor said he was "open to suggestions" ...   more »

View Article  6% growth in mortgage lending

Gross mortgage lending grew to an estimated £32.4 billion in October, rising nearly 6% from £30.6 billion in September and £30.6 billion in October last year, according to the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML). 

 

While the increase is higher than the 3% seasonal rise that might typically be ...   more »

View Article  Dollar hit by fresh weakness

The dollar fell to a twelve-year low against the Swiss franc and lost ground against the yen on Monday as fears over the health of the US economy continued to undermine the currency.

 

Analysts said weak US data on Friday had helped to cement expectations of further interest rate ...   more »

View Article  House prices show surprise rise

UK house prices rose 1.1 per cent in October, the Nationwide's survey showed on Wednesday, but many saw the unexpectedly strong monthly gain as an aberration among signs of a marked slowdown in the housing market.

 

The month-on-month rise was the strongest since June, taking the annual rate of ...   more »

View Article  Sterling blasts through $2.07 against dollar

Sterling surged to a fresh 26-year high above $2.07 against the dollar and advanced across the board on Wednesday after a survey showed UK house prices rose at their highest pace this year in October.

 

The pound rose 0.3 per cent to $2.0743 against the dollar, its strogest level ...   more »

View Article  Financial system still at risk, say Bank of England

The UK remains susceptible to further trouble in its financial markets as the recent global credit crunch continues to have effect, the Bank of England has warned.

 

In its twice-yearly Financial Stability Report, the central bank says that further shocks may be unavoidable as the UK looks to recover ...   more »

View Article  London named most attractive property market

London has been named as the city with the most attractive property investment market for the second year running in an index of European cities.

 

The UK capital has beaten Paris to top spot for the second consecutive year in the ninth annual European index by LaSalle Investment Management....   more »

View Article  Consumers reduce borrowings due to credit crunch, says report

A report has claimed 2007 will see consumers take on less unsecured debt as the consequences of the summer’s credit crunch take their toll.

 

Datamonitor, the independent market analyst, predict the UK consumer credit market will dip as lenders continue to tighten borrowing conditions and reject a higher number ...   more »

View Article  UK economic growth to slow says forecast

An influential forecast group has predicted that UK economic growth will slow significantly in 2008 as a result of the recent credit crunch.

 

Ernst and Young’s ITEM Club has substantially revised its 2008 GDP forecast to 2.1% from 2.5% in July thanks to the marked tightening of monetary and ...   more »

View Article  Public display confidence in house price growth

Consumers have expressed confidence that the housing market will continue its price boom despite strong evidence to the contrary, research by the Association of Investment Companies (AIC) has revealed.

 

In the AIC’s survey, almost two-thirds (62%) of the general public (1,004 people) stated a belief that the housing market ...   more »

View Article  CML announces sharp fall in mortgage lending

September saw a sharp decline in mortgage lending in the UK, according to new data from the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML).

 

Gross mortgage lending fell by 12% in September compared to August, to a total of £30bn.

 

Although this figure is a 2.5% increase on the ...   more »

View Article  Tories to vote against CGT change

Conservative MPs will vote against part of the upcoming finance bill if it includes controversial changes to the capital gains tax (CGT), detailed in last week's pre-budget report, the shadow chancellor George Osborne said yesterday.

As a growing number of lobby groups and business people voiced their dismay at the ...   more »

View Article  Banks hold rates as UK house prices slow

The British and European central banks keep their interest rates unchanged in the face of more volatility in the financial marketsDearbail Jordan

 

The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee's (MPC) voted today to keep the interest rates unchanged at 5.75 per cent, as the six-year high in borrowing costs ...   more »

View Article  BoE leaves interest rates at 5.75pc

The Bank of England has resisted increasing pressure to cut interest rates as policy makers take more time to assess the impact of the credit crunch on the broader economy.

 

The decision by the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee to leave the cost of borrowing at 5.75pc was predicted by all but one of the 60 economists surveyed by financial news agency Bloomberg.

 

Governor Mervyn King has come under heavy fire for his handling of last month's Northern Rock crisis, which has dented consumer confidence and called into doubt the Bank's earlier projection that rates would need to rise to 6pc.

 

While the members of the MPC are taking more time to examine the impact of the financial turmoil on the rest of the economy, housing data today from the Halifax suggests the market is slowing. Prices dropped 0.6pc last month, the first decline this year as both buyers and sellers stood back from the market.

 

The Bank had indicated in its quarterly Inflation Report in August that rates might have to rise keep inflation on track, but since then the CPI has dropped and the economy has been beset by profound threats.

 

Today's decision to leave rate on hold will come as a disappointment to the British Retail Consortium. Kevin Hawkins, its director general, yesterday called for the bank to take immediate action on rates.

 

The plea from the country's retailers comes after a warning from the Ernst & Young Item Club over the weekend that a cut would be the smartest move for the economy and the struggling financial services sector.

 

Source: The Telegraph

View Article  Mortgage prices will rise with lenders cashing in on rival's turmoil, says HBOS chief

Andy Hornby, the boss of Britain's biggest mortgage lender HBOS, predicted yesterday a "fundamental shift" in the lending markets that will leave homeowners paying considerably more for new loans than they have in recent years.

 

"Looking forward, we can already see that mortgage pricing is starting to adjust ...   more »

View Article  Borrowers and banks hit as credit crisis takes toll of homeowners

Home loans are becoming more expensive for borrowers and less profitable for banks, Britain’s biggest mortgage lender said yesterday, as the continuing crisis in global credit markets takes its toll on UK homeowners.

Speaking at a Merrill Lynch banking conference yesterday, Andy Hornby, the chief executive of Halifax Bank ...   more »

View Article  House prices drop for first time this year

House prices have fallen for the first time this year, according to the latest monthly survey from Halifax.

 

Britain's largest mortgage lender revealed that average house prices during September dropped 0.6pc to £198,500.

 

The slide was led by prices in Northern Ireland, which fell 3.2pc, ...   more »

View Article  No change expected for UK rates

The Bank of England is expected to keep interest rates on hold at 5.75% later while it assesses the economic impact of the recent financial turmoil.

 

Most experts believe policymakers will adopt a "wait and see" policy on rates until a clearer picture emerges of the effects of the ...   more »

View Article  France calls for lower European interest rates

The new French finance minister Christine Lagarde has called on the European Central Bank to lower interest rates at its meeting next month to try to counter the rise of the euro.

 

Ms Lagarde, one of the key ministers driving Nicolas Sarkozy's ambitious reform programme, said in an interview ...   more »

View Article  IMF fears over Britain's sub-prime market

The International Monetary Fund has warned that Britain's sub-prime mortgage system is comparable to the United States, sparking fears about the stability of the housing market.

 

The Washington-based institution singled out the UK's low-income mortgage market as a key area of risk for the financial system....   more »

View Article  House price growth turned negative in August says RICS.

House prices growth turned negative for the first time since October 2005.  1.8% more Chartered Surveyors reported a fall than rise in house prices, down from 10.8 reporting a rise in July.

 

Demand continued to weaken as rising interest rates weighed on buyer affordability. 

 

The trend ...   more »

View Article  Abbey under fire for 125% mortgage

Britain's third biggest mortgage lender was last night accused of fuelling the national debt crisis by launching a new home loan worth up to 125% of a property's sale price.

 

The Abbey loan, the biggest of its type ever offered to UK house buyers, is entirely secured on the ...   more »

View Article  Relief as Northern Rock shares up

Shares in Northern Rock have recovered some ground after the government promised to protect savers' deposits.

 

Desperate to restore faith in British banks, Chancellor Alistair Darling pledged the Bank of England would guarantee all existing deposits.

 

The unprecedented move led to drop in the number of people queuing ...   more »

View Article  One-in-ten chance of housing crash, says RICS

There is a one-in-ten chance of a crash in the housing market over the next year, according to the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors.

 

Simon Rubinsohn, chief economist for the RICS, also said there was a 20-per-cent chance of a 10-per-cent drop in London house prices over the next ...   more »

View Article  Buy-to-let investors return as rental market sees record growth

Buy-to-let investors returned to the market as rental growth reached record levels.

 

Tenant demand for rental property has been boosted by declining accessibility, rising uncertainty and a slowing housing market which has reduced the impetus on would-be home buyers to enter into the market, says the RICS Lettings Market ...   more »

View Article  Alan Greenspan warns of UK house prices drop

Alan Greenspan, the former head of America's central bank, the Federal Reserve, issues the prediction in an exclusive interview with The Daily Telegraph today.

  

Alan Greenspan warned recent increases in house prices were unsustainable

He warns of "difficulties" ahead for UK home owners, as rising interest rates bring ...   more »

View Article  Bank lending rate rises on Northern Rock woes

The short-term lending cost between banks has shot up in the wake of the run on Northern Rock, figures show today.

 

The overnight interbank Libor rate surged to 6.47 per cent this morning compared with 5.87 per cent on Friday and above the 5.75 per cent Bank of England ...   more »

View Article  Mortgage borrowers and savers told not to panic

Borrowers and savers have little to fear, despite Northern Rock's need for an emergency loan from the Bank of England, industry experts said, though they believe liquidity problems could slow the property market.

 

Mortgage borrowers and savers with Northern Rock -- the country's eighth-largest listed bank -- can have ...   more »